Did we actually wake up Wednesday? Or are we in fact still
in some Cartesian dreamland, where parrots dwell in Brooklyn, cars drive
themselves, and Donald Trump has acquired a new piece of real estate at 1600 Pennsylvania
Avenue? From the parrot's outpost above the ruckus, the first is not all that
strange (sqwuaak!), and the second we
will probably get used to in some century or other. But Donald Trump the 44th
Resident of the White House? (Washington didn't get to live there, and come to
think of it, it ain't so white anymore.) Is this some sort of reality show?
Maybe the Broadway version of The Plot
Against America?
On the grinding fear that none of these suggestions explain
what happened last week, here we go with 24 thoughts, in no particular order.
1. We could artificially extend our sanity for a couple of
months by imagining some major medical event that relieves Trump of the need to
fake governing the country. But do you recall the old buttons people wore
during the Reagan administration: "Shoot Bush first"? In a FB post I referred
to Mike Pence as an "innocuous Republican hack", but really he's no
such thing. If I have to choose among anti-abortion, pro-gun, pro-carbon-fuel,
pro-business, anti-Muslim bigots then for sure I want the one who has
absolutely no experience governing anything bigger than his penthouse.
2. Could there be some obscure tenet of domestic or international
law that could rule the election results illegal? I mean, he's the one who said
it was rigged, right? Isn't there some sort of penalty for vowing to scuttle
international treaties? Can't global warming deniers at least be committed to a
psychiatric ward? There is no reason the rest of the planet has to stand by and
watch the seas rise because some maniac claims global warming is a "Chinese
hoax".
3. So you say you are considering moving out of the country
for a while? Here's a quick guide to the world. China is run by anti-democracy
strongman Xi Jinping. Russia is in the hands of the aggressive KGB alumnus
Vladimir Putin. England is wearing its xenophobia on its sleeve and is now led
by Brexit champion Theresa May. In France, Francois Hollande, a putative
Socialist, has lost virtually all popular support, and a victory next year by
the far right Marine Le Pen is no more unthinkable than was a Trump victory in
the U.S. Austria, never a bright light of democracy, may soon land in the far
right column as well. From Poland to Denmark, rightwing governments are being installed all over
Europe. So your choices are: Canada, of course, under the present liberal
leadership of Justin Trudeau, and... Germany! Yes, the Germans suddenly look
like the carriers of the democratic torch, under the conservative but practical
Christian Democrat Angela Merkel. Her message to Trump on
his victory: get with the program if you want to play soccer in our league.
4. The U.S. now joins the list of nations like North Korea,
the Philippines and Venezuala where the leader is defined not merely as far "left"
or "right" but as a complete loony bin who is off the chart of normal
political behavior. Duterte has already expressed his admiration for Trump; can
Kim Jong-un be far behind?
5. Lock him up! Possible grounds for sending Trump to jail
immediately:
· - Treason: conspiring with a foreign power to
interfere with democratic process in a U.S. election.
· - Criminal threat: suggesting that the
"Second Amendment people"could take out his Democratic opponent.
· - Incitement to riot: recommending that his
followers punch protesters in the face.
· - Tax evasion: claiming tax deductions for utterly
worthless "partnerships" in his failed business.
Possible grounds for lawsuits to tie him up indefinitely:
· - Sexual harrassment: need I say more?
· - Unfair business practices: failure to pay
employees and contractors in his failed enterprises while walking away with
$millions.
· - Defamation: publicly stating that Barack Obama
was not born in the U.S. after his citizenship had been proven beyond a
reasonable doubt.
Surely some of
these have to succeed? (I can't think of a crime associated with belittling
veterans who gave or risked their lives in a war. It may be one of those
perverse uses of free speech that has to be protected just because there are
legitimate uses of speech that have to be protected.)
6. It is not clear what, in the opinion of 55 million people
or so, is not acceptable for an
American President to say, other than "here's a plan to provide affordable
health care to millions of uninsured Americans". When the morally
unthinkable loses its meaning, like a word repeated too many times, that is
when a door is open for fascism to slip in.
7. Doesn't this feel a bit like watching a disaster film
where the calamity unfolds in slow motion, the better to make your pulse churn
while you await the horrible and entirely foreseeable conclusion, unable to
warn those in danger?
8. There are really two countries here, two basic moral,
cultural and political regions. One is defined by the broad swath of the nation from the
Midwest to the Deep South, but is really rural America wherever it exists. This is the nation that elected President Trump. Look
at an electoral map by county rather than by state and you begin to get the
picture of what this country is about. For it is not as if Trump
"lost" New York, for example; he, and every other Republican
Presidential candidate in recent memory, overwhelmed
the opposition everywhere but in a handful of counties dominated by big cities,
primarily New York City. (Hillary barely won in Buffalo, which is much more
like the industrial Midwest than like New York.) That's the way it is in
Pennsylvania between Philadelphia and Pittsburgh and in all the other so-called
"swing states". A "swing state" is one in which, in spite
of the guaranteed rural white vote in favor of Republicans, the Democrats have
a prayer of gathering enough urban votes to dominate. As long as the
demographics of the nation stay more or less as they are and have been at least
since WW II this is never going to be
a country that embraces diversity, change, environmentalism or gun control.
9. I too was busy congratulating myself for helping in some
small way to create in a country that elected a Black President, twice, and was
about to cast more votes for a woman than for her male opponent. Forget all
that; as Michael Moore rightly said in his post predicting a Trump
victory, I was living in a bubble, deluding myuself. One sign of that was the
venom that has been directed at Obama even by some of my more intelligent and
knowledgable acquaintances, a vile and bottomless outpouring of nasty, empty
vindictiveness that only a Black President would be subjected to. I never hear a
single word of thanks for his lifting the country out of the financial and
military disaster left to him by Bush amd his cronies. No sympathy for millions
of Americans who can afford health care for the first time in their lives. Not
even a thumbs up for finally taking out Osama bin Laden, or getting ground
troops out of Iraq; just vitriol and a flood of baseless accusations.
("Look what Obama has done to Israel!" a Jewish acquaintance of mine
declared the other day – Okay, what,
exactly, has he done to Israel? – "I don't know offhand but I
heard....") This country was not ready for a Black President, it was
simply a matter of getting someone to undo the damage of the Bush
administration, and the alternatives were the ever-unpopular Hillary and a
Black man. People held their noses and voted for the Black man, and immediately
turned around and told him everything he was doing wrong. It's the same old
country, we just had a temporary bubble of pseudo-enlightenment.
10. We are still caught up in the defective political
experiment known as the "electoral college", which this week for the fifth time delivered to us a Chief
Executive who most of the active voters
do not want to be President. Is it any wonder that the world generally holds in
contempt our claims to be a shining model of democracy for everyone else? The
principle of one person, one vote does not exist in this country, and if it did
we would not be looking forward to an infantile, lecherous, ignorant,
foul-mouthed buffoon leading the country for the next four years. In the
election of 1888 Benjamin Harrison defeated Grover Cleveland by 55 electoral
votes but narrowly lost the popular vote, after insisting on high tariffs to
appease Midwestern and MidAtlantic industrial workers and business owners. And
you thought Trump don't know much about history – though he sure don't know
much biology or science books.
11.
A great deal is being made of the fact that people in certain areas are hurting
where it counts, and largely because of a loss of manufacturing and basic
industry jobs. Therefore, the logic goes, they voted for Trump just to have
something different, someone who promises them jobs and is not a Washington
insider. Yes, as dimwitted fantasies go, that is up there with the best of
them. Industrial jobs began disappearing with the Reagan-Volker recessions of
the early 1980's, which turned numerous parts of the industrial heartland into
ghost towns, not to mention helping to bankrupt millions of small farmers. Many
objective factors contributed to this, factors which only increased over time
(see #13 below). The Great Recession was like a mopping up operation on basic
industry; it was brought on in part by the Republican-led Graham-Leach-Bliley
Act of 1999 which deregulated the banking system (not a good recommendation
for Clinton either: Bill signed it into law). Later deregulations under George W.
Bush also helped. Now, there is a huge demographic in the U.S. that would vote
for any Republican who mouths some basic bullshit about the sanctity of life
and the right to keep loaded weapons of every sort around the house. (See Trump's
platform: "the government has no
business dictating what types of firearms good, honest people are allowed to
own".) So the logic of bringing back basic industrial jobs is at
best a deciding factor in a few "swing states" in or near the Great
Lakes region. Not even that – it is the logic of the even fewer swing voters in those states, the ones who
truly are open to either a Democrat or Republican and just want to make sure
they get a promise of future employment and/or better employment. These people
are extraordinarily gullible to believe that the guy who managed a
billion-dollar empire into the ground is the one who is going to help them.
They easily forget the damage that one Republican after another has done to the
industrial economy. But they are relatively few in number. Most of the Trump
voters would vote for King Kong if he professed to be a fundamentalist
Christian, promoted the illusion that guns provide personal protection, and
professed to dislike the government in general. Let us have our fun with a gun
and we will vote for you, son. The alienated unemployed are a very, very minor
factor in the election; they have drawn focus because of the electoral college
and their resultant role, but they are not the core Republican constituency.
12. People are tired of political insiders (read hacks) so
they want an outsider - like Mike
Pence, Rudy Giuliani and Newt Gingrich, for instance. These folks are really
going to shake things up in Washington! Of course, people knew about all of them
during the campaign, even if they didn't know that after his victory Trump
would immediately hire numerous corporate lobbyists (Washington insiders by
definition) to help staff his new administration. The wolves will be guarding
the chicken coop at every single federal agency – as always during Republican administrations (but only usually during Democratic
administrations).
13. Hillary Clinton and her sidekick Bill are also
responsible for some of the worst legislation and regulations for the working
class, including the Welfare Reform Act, the anti-crime bill, the NAFTA
agreement and the "Don't ask don't tell" policy in the military. Bill
Clinton signed into law the aforementioned banking deregulation act. Hillary's support
of not only NAFTA but its successor, the Trans-Pacific Partnership, is
rightfully galling to displaced workers, and is as good a reason as any for her
not to have been elected. But these workers are in la-la-land if they think that
the decline of many basic Midwest and Mid-Atlantic industries is just about
NAFTA. There are some basic economic realities like the declining efficiency of
U.S. manufacturing in general, the availability of cheap labor elsewhere, the relative
cost of coal as a fuel, the need to reduce carbon fuel consumption, the ability
of foreign automakers to produce better and/or cheaper cars, the growth of the
steel industry in South Korea and elsewhere, the automation of many factory jobs,
and other secular factors. Globalization is here to stay, and though we don't
have to help it along in ways that destroy American jobs eve more rapidly, many
of those jobs are going the way of all flesh sooner or later, free trade or no
free trade. I am not being unsympathetic, but refusing to face reality is no
kind of political strategy. Some of those jobs will come back, in the form of retooled, more automated and less
unionized manufacturing facilities; this will have nothing to do with Donald
Trump, though a good industrial policy would help. But they will not come back
in a way that makes use of old labor skills, nor at the wage levels that were
briefly enjoyed thanks to our industrial dominance and a strong union movement.
By the way, who led the charge against those unions?Anyone remember PATCO?
Arise ye wretched of the earth and vote for more reactionary "make America
great again" Republicans like Ronald Reagan, that will surely bring about
change in Washington!
14. Hillary and her email server. What? How can an email
server have anything remotely like the weight of these major economic and
global environmental considerations? The answer to that is that most people
barely understand the concept of a "server" at all, unless it's the
person who brings them coffee in the morning at the local diner. But what they do understand is the power of
metaphor: the "private email server" is simply a way of recognizing
that Hillary is for Hillary, she is about Hillary, she would play fast and
loose with national security because she's an insider and can do what she
wants, she thinks she's better than everyone else who has to follow the rules.
The fact that she trots off to Wall Street to give speeches and earn millions
of dollars only cements the perception: she is about herself, and secondly
about them, and not us.
15. Hillary has been Secretary of State of the most powerful
nation in the world. The world has continued to fall apart and is arguably
worse now than when she started out. That's a recommendation to make her
President? Don't expect people to understand that an entire army of Hillarys
could not put Humpty Dumpy together again after the rise of Islamic extremism.
But more broadly, other than her carefully chosen words, what accomplishments of hers did anyone have
to go on? What has she done? Two
terms as first lady, two as Senator and two more as Secretary of State, and what
is her calling card? What does she have to offer as a memorable accomplishment?
An act that expanded childcare? Give us a break; she has been around forever
and doesn't have a single thing to brag about, just a lot of promises. She
flip-flops on one thing after another. How was she ever supposed to mobilize
anyone other than by being not-Trump?
16. 20-20 hindsight is good enough to see that by
collaborating with the DNC to deprive Bernie Sanders of the nomination Hillary
essentially handed the country to Donald Trump. Sanders had better numbers
against Trump all along, had none of her baggage and had enough of a reform
aura to avoid the "insider" label. No, I did not believe he could
pull off many of his platform positions any more than Trump can do everything
he says; in fact, Trump has a better chance, with a Republican Congress. I
simply did not believe Bernie would do anything evil. Perhaps Debbie Wasserman Schultz and the DNC were not the
deciding factor in whether Hillary won the nomination, but they helped in their
little ways to drive America into the hands of Trump. Imagine: right now we are
anxiously awaiting the inauguration of President-elect Bernie Sanders, the
first Jew and first Socialist ever to assume the office, while Donald Trump is
already half-forgotten as he lands on the trash heap of American politics along
with George Wallace and the like. How does that sound? Thanks, Deb. Thanks, Hillary.
17. Hello, President Putin, Sir? This is your faithful
manservant Donald. Is it okay if I speak English, since I have at best minimal
facility with that language much less am I fluent in Ukranian, I mean Russian?
Thanks. Well, I just wanted to thank you for your help. I appreciate that you
are a man of fine, upstanding moral character, a democrat with a small "d",
and you wouldn't want to see Hillary win unfairly. Yes, I know, Sanders is a
Socialist, there could be a conflict of interest there, but you guys have
mostly gotten over the socialism thing, haven't you? Give Julian a big bear hug
for me too, will ya? He and I have to have a talk about women some time, I
think there may be a lot in common there.
18. Nothing energizes the left like a good kick in the
pants. This should do it. We thought with Obama we had finally reached the seat
of power. Partly correct, though he leaves a negative legacy in a few areas:
failure to presecute the torturers from the Bush regime, permitting and
expanding the collection of phone and email data (a program that will now be
placed squarely in the hands of the most reactionary elements in American
politics), and largely leaving in place many of the conditions that led to the
financial collapse, among other things. We thought the same about Hillary –
well, some did, though for reasons already stated I seriously question that.
But now there is no question we are once again out. Forward ever, backwards never – don't get depressed, get
active.
19. Does the name Joe McCarthy ring a bell? He came from one
of our beloved "swing states", Wisconsin. "The State Department
is infested with Communists" said McCarthy in his famous Wheeling (WV)
speech. "Lock her up!" says Trump of the Secretary of State. November
14 would have been McCarthy's 108th birthday, but he had the decency to drop
dead of hepatitis at age 48. Trump is a bit late in following suit, but as I
said, January 20 is a good two months away.
20. Trump's support is paper thin and will wash out very
quickly with those "swing voters" in those swingin' states. Many of
them have been quoted saying they already view him with skepticism. But they
hope he will bring back prosperity to their depressed industrial regions, make
America "strong"again, "shake things up" in Washington. At
the same time they hope he will not act on his ideological agenda of
anti-immigrant bluster and anti-abortion rhetoric, or take away their newfound
health care coverage. Too bad; he will act on exactly what they hope he won't,
and he will fail to act on what they hope he will. But it will be too late by
then to get rid of him, and the damage will be done.
21. Of course you can't be too politically astute if you
voted for Trump because you didn't like Hillary, which means you could not be
thinking seriously about things like the terrible impact of having Trump rather
than Hillary nominate the Supreme Court justice with, yes, the swing vote. We will have to eat that one
for a long time to come. Though Supreme Court justices occasionally disappoint
their sponsors and fail to act consistently as tools for the ruling class,
there is no reason to hope for such a benign outcome. The Neanderthal majority
in the Court will be preserved now for decades.
22. I had thought that maybe the underappreciated cause of
our electoral disaster was Bill, not Hill. She will always be Billary to most
people, the one who stood by her man, not only his policies but his sleazy
defacement of the oval office. So, perhaps the issue is that people don't want
Bill as the first First Gentleman, a very reasonable consideration! But then,
look what they chose as an alternative! Somebody whose sexual comments should
be an embarassment even to his wife and children; and a first lady who does nude
photo shoots with some light lesbian and bondage content. Well, admittedly
it would be more pleasant to have to look at Melania than at Billary for the
next four years, if only you could forget the proto-fascist politics she is
there to put a pretty face on.
23. Predictions: Parrots are not very good at predictions,
as they are better at saying what was just said than what will be true a few days
or years from now. So with that thought in mind, allow me to make several
predictions, which I hope will meet the usual fate mine tend to do:
· > The economy will take a nose dive, as it
typically does in conservative Republican administrations. Interest rates up,
business investment down, the unemployed will have a lot of new company.
· > Terrorist attacks on U.S. soil will dramatically
increase; Trump will be a magnet for terrorists.
· > Social programs, health programs and the arts
will be defunded.
· > Military spending will increase dramatically and
there will be no more than a token effort, if that, to reduce wasteful expenses
by the military, contrary to Trump's feeble comments on this subject.
· > Russia and China will expand their influence
considerably, while the U.S. drops off the chart as a world leader. (After
eight years of Bush and four of Trump who could take the U.S. seriously as a
global leader? The periodic infusion of a Clinton or Obama White House is not
enough to make us a reliable partner.)
· > Congress will turn over to the Democrats in the
mid-term election, leading to an even more complete stalemate in Washington
than will be the case with a narrow Republican majority. But this will blunt
the impact of some of Trump's worst ideas.
· > Those displaced, unemployed, alienated, forsaken
swingers will still be displaced, unemployed, alienated and forsaken in two
years, three years, four years, and will return to their former instincts to
vote for the lesser-evil in the Democratic Party.
· > The only people who even try to emigrate to Canada will be those who need health care
coverage and expect to lose it here. No guarantee they will be welcomed there.
24. Ways to get through the next four years:
· * Look forward to electing lots of Democrats 2
years from now. I know this is not very exciting but it is the best reality we
can foresee right now. There are even a few who are more appealing than Hillary
Clinton.
· * Buy stock in all the companies that will profit
from Trump's largesse – I'm thinking coal, and in general any regressive form
of energy, real estate for sure, banks, biopharmaceuticals, and since you will
already be morally corrupt at that point, why not short some healthcare stocks?
Though you may be late to the game in all this, as Wall Street traders had this
figured out before the end of last week.
· * A steady diet of soothing or cheerful classical
music – I might recommend for starters any of Bach's Brandenburg Concerti or
Handel's Concerti Grossi Op.6, the Clarinet Quintets by Mozart and Brahms,
Beethoven's "Spring" Sonata for violin and piano, Schubert's Die Schone Mullerin song cycle, Elgar's Enigma Variations and Sea Pictures, Sibelius' 2nd Symphony,
Borodin's String Quarter #2 and Aaron Copland's Appalachian Spring. (Note that I have not selected any Trumpet
concerti.) For those who have already heard all these pieces 100 times or more
I can also do a slightly more challenging list for you, or, if you prefer folk,
jazz or rock I'd be happy to provide those too. I am convinced that frequent
immersion in sounds of unparalleled beauty is the only antidote to the ugliness
that will be streaming from every media device for years to come.
· * Organize a protest at least once a day. Nobody
will come to most of them, but who knows, one of them just might be the spark
that starts a prairie fire, as Chariman Mao put it, sending people by the
thousands to camp out in Washington until the Trump Empire crumbles into dust.
· * Medical marijuana. A doctor can prescribe some
for you. It may be no different from what you get on the street, but it feels
like it's relieving pain better than what you get in a nickel bag.
What a world. Sqwuaauuck.
[Note: edited #3 for typos, #8 for clarity, #11 for an incorrect reference, added a hyperlink in #12, #15 for a typo. In #24 I really meant Handel's Concerti Grossi Opus 3, which I love even more than Opus 6, but since Opus 6 would hardly be an inappropriate choice in this context I'll let it stick.]